Insights
What actually moves results for Aberdeen — correlations and trends across 217 matches, 2020/21 to 2025/26.
Season
Venue
All seasons · 2020/21–2025/26 · Home & AwayAFC1903 · stats.afc1903.com
What’s Linked to Winning?
Correlation of each metric with points won (217 matches). Green = more of it goes with winning, red = more of it goes with losing. Bars further from zero = stronger link.
Most associated with winning: xG (r 0.52). Most associated with losing: xGA (r -0.44).
Aberdeen FC analytics · stats.afc1903.com · Data: Sofascore
Correlation (Pearson r) measures association, not causation — a strong link is a question worth asking, not a proven cause. Sample sizes shrink when filtered to a single season (~38 matches). xG and touches-in-box aren’t tracked in older seasons and are excluded automatically where missing. Data from Sofascore; PPDA and shape metrics are Sofascore-derived.