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Latest match · Premiership · Sat 24 Oct · Away
Dundee United
3
Aberdeen
2
FULL TIME · LOSTIqbal 14′ · Tait 27′ · Sapsford 72′ | Guinness-Walker 25′ · Ronan 56′
1.50Expected goals1.56
14Shots20
23Touches in their box45
45Possession %55
Every chart from the game
Match page →
Match report
The Alternative Match Report →▶ Highlights
xG FotMob · shots Sofascore · box touches WhoScored
Next matchFalkirkPittodrie · Wednesday 28 October · 19:45
–DAYS TO GO
Aberdeen9th11 ptsWDLWL
Falkirk7th12 ptsWDLWW
Last meeting
Aberdeen drew 1–1 at Pittodrie, 14 Mar 2026
Scouting report →
Season leaders · 2026–27
Top scorerK. Nisbet
5goals
5.7 xG · 29 shotsTop passerS. Armstrong
86%
307passes completed
86% accuracy · 19 key passesTop duel winnerN. Guinness-Walker
58duels won
62% won · 35 lost
The record

Every league match since 2021–22

200 matches, one square each, in the order they were played: 69 won, 43 drawn, 88 lost. Hover for the score, click to open the match page.

WonDrawnLostTo play
Browse all 200 matches →Records →
From the research · Chance creation

1.34 xG per match: this season so far

10 matches into the season, so the figure can still move. Each dot is one league match.

Every shot, every season →
Related reading
Top 10 xG Performances4 OctOpen Play30 Sept
xG per league match · FotMob · line marks the season average · 200 matches
Matches200Every league match since 2021–22, each with its own page.Browse matches →The table9th11 ptsExpected points 11.8 from 10 matches.Full table →Records47leaderboards, 413 matches.See the records →New to the numbers?xG, PPDA and xT in plain English.Read the glossary →

2026–27 so far

9th · 10 matches playedAll results →
HEA H
2–1
2.7 · 1.8
DUN A
0–2
0.7 · 1.8
RAN H
0–1
0.3 · 2.1
CEL A
0–3
0.7 · 2.7
KIL H
0–0
1.1 · 1.1
MOT A
4–0
0.9 · 0.8
HIB A
1–1
0.7 · 1.4
STJ H
0–1
1.7 · 1.3
SMI H
3–1
3.1 · 1.4
DDU A
2–3
1.6 · 1.5
Each match: result, score, xG for (red) and against (grey) · FotMob
Points vs expected points

Cumulative across the season. Above the dashed line means we’re taking more than the chances deserved.

-1.1
vs expected · 10 games
-4.8 vs 60 pace
049131760 pace2026-08-01 · Hearts 2-1 (W) xG 2.66–1.83 after 1: 3 pts vs 1.9 expected2026-08-08 · Dundee FC 0-2 (L) xG 0.72–1.83 after 2: 3 pts vs 2.5 expected2026-08-30 · Rangers 0-1 (L) xG 0.35–2.10 after 3: 3 pts vs 2.8 expected2026-09-02 · Celtic 0-3 (L) xG 0.68–2.67 after 4: 3 pts vs 3.2 expected2026-09-05 · Kilmarnock 0-0 (D) xG 1.08–1.11 after 5: 4 pts vs 4.5 expected2026-09-15 · Motherwell 4-0 (W) xG 0.90–0.85 after 6: 7 pts vs 5.9 expected2026-09-19 · Hibernian 1-1 (D) xG 0.70–1.40 after 7: 8 pts vs 6.7 expected2026-10-11 · St. Johnstone 0-1 (L) xG 1.69–1.25 after 8: 8 pts vs 8.4 expected2026-10-17 · St. Mirren 3-1 (W) xG 3.07–1.35 after 9: 11 pts vs 10.7 expected2026-10-24 · Dundee United 2-3 (L) xG 1.56–1.50 after 10: 11 pts vs 12.1 expectedmatches played →
—— points won- - - expected points···· 60-point pacehover a point for that match

Per-match expected points is a Poisson model on FotMob xG — it matches FotMob’s season figure to 0.01, but they only publish a total, so the line is calculated here. A persistent gap is usually finishing or goalkeeping, and neither tends to hold.

11points from 10 matches
Expected points 11.81 (FotMob)
PGDPts
1Celtic10+1927
2Rangers10+1023
3Hearts10+719
4Dundee United10015
5Dundee FC10+214
6St Mirren10-713
7Falkirk10012
8St Johnstone10-412
9Aberdeen10-111
10Motherwell10-78
11Kilmarnock10-138
12Hibernian10-67

The benchmark

Nine targets for a 60-point season
The benchmark · 2026–27

Are we on track for 60 points?

Setting the benchmark →† our target, not the article’s

0/9
targets met · 10 games
on pace for 42 pts
Results
Points per game1.10/ 1.62
Expected points1.18/ 1.66
Goal difference / game-0.10/ 0.32
Expected GD / game †-0.25/ 0.32
Attack
xG per game †1.34/ 1.5
Shots on target3.3/ 4.2
Open-play assists †19/ 20 proj. (5 in 10)
Defence
xG conceded †1.59/ 1.18
Clean sheets8/ 14 proj. (2 in 10)
target last season■ on target■ within 10%■ off target

† ours, not the article’s: xG 1.50 and xG conceded 1.18, which split the goal-difference target; expected goal difference +0.32, which is the article’s goal-difference target read across to expected goals rather than a figure it states; and 20 open-play assists — our five-season baseline, best 22 in 2022-23. Expected points is FotMob’s own figure, and expected goal difference is built on FotMob xG, so the two agree with each other. Reading goal difference against expected goal difference is the point of the pair: a gap between them is finishing, at one end or the other. Updated after every match.