Insights
What actually links to Aberdeen winning?
Correlations and trends across 222 matches, 2020/21 to 2025/26. A strong link is a question worth asking — not a proven cause.
Season
Venue
All seasons · 2020/21–2025/26 · Home & AwayAFC1903 · stats.afc1903.com
What’s Linked to Winning?
Correlation of each metric with points won (222 matches). Green = more of it goes with winning, red = more of it goes with losing. Bars further from zero = stronger link.
Most associated with winning: xG (r 0.41). Most associated with losing: xGA (r -0.45).
Aberdeen FC analytics · stats.afc1903.com · Data: Sofascore
222 matches · data: Sofascore (PPDA + shape derived) · FotMob xG · updated 5 Sept 2026 · correlation measures association, not causation · sample sizes shrink when filtered to one season · xG runs 2021-22 onward (2020-21 predates our coverage), touches-in-box from 2024-25 — both excluded automatically outside their range · how the numbers work · glossary