Insights
What actually links to Aberdeen winning?
Correlations and trends across 227 matches, 2020/21 to 2025/26. A strong link is a question worth asking — not a proven cause.
Season
Venue
All seasons · 2020/21–2025/26 · Home & AwayAFC1903 · stats.afc1903.com
What’s Linked to Winning?
Correlation of each metric with points won (227 matches). Green = more of it goes with winning, red = more of it goes with losing. Bars further from zero = stronger link.
Most associated with winning: xG (r 0.40). Most associated with losing: xGA (r -0.45).
227 matches · data: Sofascore (PPDA + shape derived) · FotMob xG · Sportmonks (SPFL scatter) · data through 24 Oct 2026 · correlation measures association, not causation · sample sizes shrink when filtered to one season · xG runs 2021-22 onward (2020-21 predates our coverage), touches-in-box from 2021-22 (WhoScored-derived, validated against Sofascore on overlapping matches) — both excluded automatically outside their range · SPFL scatter is Sportmonks, kept separate from this site’s own WhoScored/Sofascore numbers — field definitions are not assumed identical across providers · how the numbers work · glossary