Analysis

Insights

What actually links to Aberdeen winning?
Correlations and trends across 217 matches, 2020/21 to 2025/26. A strong link is a question worth asking — not a proven cause.
Season
Venue
All seasons · 2020/21–2025/26 · Home & AwayAFC1903 · stats.afc1903.com

What’s Linked to Winning?

Correlation of each metric with points won (217 matches). Green = more of it goes with winning, red = more of it goes with losing. Bars further from zero = stronger link.

Most associated with winning: Shots on Target (r 0.40). Most associated with losing: xGA (r -0.45).

Aberdeen FC analytics · stats.afc1903.com · Data: Sofascore
217 matches · data: Sofascore (PPDA + shape derived) · FotMob xG · updated 17 May 2026 · correlation measures association, not causation · sample sizes shrink when filtered to one season · xG and touches-in-box are missing in older seasons and excluded automatically · how the numbers work · glossary