AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Pittodrie
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
0–1
FT · Loss
St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
1.23xG
+0.13AFC xGD
xG1.10
Expected points 1.56–1.56
Unfortunate defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

Aberdeen created the better chances but failed to convert them.

22–5 shots · 2–2 big chances · 1.23–0.31 NPxG

The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.23 – 1.10
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Johnstone
AFC xG baseline: 1.04 · non-penalty 1.23–0.31
0.06 – 0.22
xG per shot
22 – 5
shots
St. Johnstone created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionGAME STATE
4.25 – 0.88
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Johnstone
AFC xT baseline: 2.38
67% – 33%
field tilt
101 – 38
final-third entries
Aberdeen had more of the play in St. Johnstone's half, but were behind for 84% of the match — from the 14th minute. A side protecting a lead cedes territory by design, so this is the scoreline talking, not control.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.10 xGA
chances conceded
0.51 better than AFC baseline (1.61)
11 (base 26)
St. Johnstone box touches
0.22
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 5-3-2 and changed to 3-5-2 on 97’. St. Johnstone stayed in 3-4-2-1 throughout.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 1.23St. Johnstone 1.10GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
35%
33%
32%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · FowlerG
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
22 shots

St. Johnstone Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

22shots · 5 on target · 1.18 xG
By situation
64%
9%
14%
14%
Open play1464%
Counter29%
Corner314%
Free kick / throw314%
By body part
50%
23%
27%
Right foot1150%
Left foot523%
Head627%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 22St. Johnstone 5
↔↔↔↔↔
↔↔↔↔↔⚽
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
32.9%
40.1%
27.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
56.0%avg 60.6%
GK Total Passes
25avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
93.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
100avg 49
Directness
59.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
The match by half
 AberdeenUsualSt. Johnstone
xG1.231.021.10
Big chances21.42
Touches in box3921.511
Possession %6547.635
Aberdeen created far more after half time (0.95 xG to 0.28) — but they were chasing by then, against a side content to sit in.
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 8 games in 2026-27. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with St. Johnstone.
Players
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
DEF
C. CaddenDEF89'
2 key passes
J. MilneDEF90'
4 shots · 7 aerials won
M. KnoesterDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 aerials won
G. MolloyDEF90'
4 interceptions
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF68'
MID
B. LyonsMID90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
F. MarshallMID59'
C. RonanMID59'
1 key pass · 3 shots
FWD
A. MoulouaFWD35'
K. NisbetFWD90'
4 key passes
Substitutes
L. SmithFWD55'
3 key passes · 3 shots
T. YoganeFWD31'
2 key passes
S. ArmstrongMID31'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
M
H. MahouFWD22'
A. AfeezMID1'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

Vs St. Johnstone at Home — every meeting on record
3-3-2(8 games)
1.57–0.91avg xG (n=7)
DWLDWDLW
This match vs season so far
7 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.23avg 1.01
2nd best of 8 · Highest 2.66, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 0.35, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
xGA
1.10avg 1.68
2nd best of 8 · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 0.85, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Possession
65%avg 45%
best of 8 · Highest 55%, 5 September 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 31%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Shots
22.0avg 9.9
best of 8 · Highest 11.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 9.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Shots on target
5.0avg 2.6
best of 8 · Highest 4.0, 15 September 2026 (4-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.3
best of 8 · Highest 2.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 1.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Box touches
39.0avg 18.7
best of 8 · Highest 25.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1)
Final third entries
101.0avg 54.7
best of 8 · Highest 73.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
15.0avg 6.9
best of 8 · Highest 8.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
13.0avg 5.1
best of 8 · Highest 9.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Tackles
14.0avg 20.6
worst of 8 · Highest 31.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 16.0, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Interceptions
6.0avg 10.3
2nd worst of 8 · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
PPDA
13.8avg 15.4
4th worst of 8 · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

22shots
1st of 8 · season best
5shots on target
1st of 8 · season best
2big chances
1st of 8 · season best
39box touches
1st of 8 · season best
67%field tilt
1st of 8 · season best
100progressive passes
1st of 8 · season best
Form:LLDWD(last 5)
Home this season: 1-1-2, 1.33–1.54 xG avg
After scoring first: 1-1-0 (2 games)