Aberdeen
0–1
FT · Loss
Rangers
0.35xG
-1.75AFC xGD
xG2.10
Expected points 0.19–2.44
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 18 shots and 26 box touches to Aberdeen's 10 and 19. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.35–2.10) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.35–1.31.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.19 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.35–2.10), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.72 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.35–1.31). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.35 – 2.10
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.19 · non-penalty 0.35–1.31
0.03 – 0.12
xG per shot
10 – 18
shots
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.87 – 1.77
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
55% – 45%
field tilt
42 – 50
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.10 xGA
chances conceded
0.54 worse than AFC baseline (1.56)
26 (base 26)
Rangers box touches
0.12
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-2-3-1 and changed to 4-2-2-2 on 75’. Rangers started 4-2-3-1, then 5-4-1 on 86’.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.45Rangers 1.84GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
5%
18%
77%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Rangers Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
10shots · 2 on target · 0.42 xG
By situation
40%
30%
30%
Open play440%
Corner330%
Free kick / throw330%
By body part
30%
30%
40%
Right foot330%
Left foot330%
Head440%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Rangers 20
🟨↔↔🟨↔🟨🟨🟨🟨
↔↔↔↔⚽🟨🟨🟨
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | SPFL average 66 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 | 9.8 | 12.1 | 14.8 | about normal · 67 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 67 of 190 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 10.2 | below usual · 36 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 36 of 190 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
44.8%
33.4%
21.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
78.1%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
32avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
35avg 49
Directness
60.7%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 274 | 376.8 | 392.4 | below usual · 28 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 28 of 190 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 73.7 | 75.4 | 72.2 | about normal · 97 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 97 of 190 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 18 | 27.2 | 25.2 | below usual · 42 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 42 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 38 | 53.2 | 57.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 6 of 190 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 6 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.9 | 14.4 | 15.6 | about normal · 76 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 76 of 190 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.35 | 1.17 | 2.10 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Touches in box | 20 | 21.6 | 27 |
| Possession % | 44 | 48.1 | 56 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
FotMob period stats — same source as the match xG. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26 — this season is too short to average yet. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Rangers.
Players
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
3 saves
17/32
Pass
-
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
C. CaddenDEF90'
5 clearances
25/31
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
L. MayoDEF90'
8 clearances
22/26
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
D. HappeDEF90'
5 clearances
22/28
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF90'
2 key passes · 4 tackles
20/27
Pass
75%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
C. RonanMID75'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
24/31
Pass
63%
Duels
2
Key P
A. AremuMID90'
5 tackles
39/47
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
M. NteloMID63'
8/11
Pass
46%
Duels
-
Key P
T. OlusanyaMID90'
1 key pass
5/8
Pass
29%
Duels
1
Key P
T. YoganeMID45'
6/6
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD90'
1 key pass · 4 shots · 4 aerials won
10/14
Pass
50%
Duels
4
Shots
Substitutes
S. ArmstrongMID45'
2 key passes
15/20
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Key P
L. SmithFWD27'
1/3
Pass
29%
Duels
-
Shots
A. MoulouaFWD15'
1/4
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Rangers at Home — every meeting on record
2-3-3(8 games)
1.30–1.74avg xG (n=7)
LDWDWLDL
This match vs season so far
4 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.35avg 1.28
avg of 4 games · Highest 2.66, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 0.68, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
xGA
2.10avg 1.86
avg of 4 games · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 1.11, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Possession
44%avg 48%
avg of 4 games · Highest 55%, 5 September 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 34%, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Shots
10.0avg 9.8
avg of 4 games · Highest 11.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 9.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Shots on target
2.0avg 2.5
avg of 4 games · Highest 3.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 2.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.3
avg of 4 games · Highest 2.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 1.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Box touches
19.0avg 20.5
avg of 4 games · Highest 25.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2) · Lowest 12.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Final third entries
42.0avg 55.5
avg of 4 games · Highest 73.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
8.0avg 6.5
avg of 4 games · Highest 8.0, 5 September 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
6.0avg 4.8
avg of 4 games · Highest 6.0, 5 September 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1)
Tackles
23.0avg 17.5
avg of 4 games · Highest 19.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 16.0, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Interceptions
2.0avg 12.3
avg of 4 games · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 7.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
PPDA
11.3avg 15.4
avg of 4 games · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Counter-press rate
12%avg 6%
avg of 4 games · Highest 8%, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 5%, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
avg
Above avg
Below avg