Dundee FC (A) 0–2
Celtic (A) 0–3 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
10–18 shots · 1–1 big chances · 0.35–1.31 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.35 – 2.10
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.34 · non-penalty 0.35–1.31
0.03 – 0.12
xG per shot
10 – 18
shots
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.87 – 1.77
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 2.60
55% – 45%
field tilt
42 – 50
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.10 xGA
chances conceded
0.51 worse than AFC baseline (1.59)
24 (base 26)
Rangers box touches
0.12
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-2-3-1 and changed to 4-2-2-2 on 75’. Rangers started 4-2-3-1, then 5-4-1 on 86’.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.35 | 1.34 | 2.10 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Touches in box | 20 | 23.8 | 27 |
| Possession % | 44 | 47.0 | 56 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 10 games in 2026-27. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Rangers.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.35Rangers 2.10GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
12%
85%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Rangers shots
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
10shots · 2 on target · 0.42 xG
By situation
40%
30%
30%
Open play440%
Corner330%
Free kick / throw330%
By body part
30%
30%
40%
Right foot330%
Left foot330%
Head440%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Rangers 20
🟨↔↔🟨↔🟨🟨🟨🟨
↔↔↔↔⚽🟨🟨🟨
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | about normal · 68 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 68 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | below usual · 37 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
44.8%
33.4%
21.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
78.1%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
32avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.5%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
35avg 50
Directness
60.7%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 274 | 396.2 | 393 | below usual · 29 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 29 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 73.7 | 75.5 | 72.3 | about normal · 99 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 99 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 18 | 30.8 | 25.4 | below usual · 42 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 42 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 38 | 57.5 | 57.9 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 6 of 195 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 6 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.9 | 14.8 | 15.6 | about normal · 77 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 77 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
3 saves
17/32
Pass
-
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
C. CaddenDEF90'
5 clearances
25/31
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
L. MayoDEF90'
8 clearances
22/26
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
D. HappeDEF90'
5 clearances
22/28
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF90'
2 key passes · 4 tackles
20/27
Pass
75%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
C. RonanMID75'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
24/31
Pass
63%
Duels
2
Key P
A. AremuMID90'
5 tackles
39/47
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
M. NteloMID63'
8/11
Pass
46%
Duels
-
Key P
T. OlusanyaMID90'
1 key pass
5/8
Pass
29%
Duels
1
Key P
T. YoganeMID45'
6/6
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD90'
1 key pass · 4 shots · 4 aerials won
10/14
Pass
50%
Duels
4
Shots
Substitutes
S. ArmstrongMID45'
2 key passes
15/20
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Key P
L. SmithFWD27'
1/3
Pass
29%
Duels
-
Shots
A. MoulouaFWD15'
1/4
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Shots
Context
How this match compares
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0.035
xG per shot
3rd lowest of 194
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.35xG
10th of 10 · season worst
2.10xGA
9th of 10 · among the worst
-1.75xGD
9th of 10 · among the worst
19box touches
8th of 10 · among the worst
3high regains
8th of 10 · among the worst
Form:WL(last 2)
Home this season: 2-1-2, 1.77–1.53 xG avg
After scoring first: 2-1-0 (3 games)
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Rangers at Home — every meeting on record
2-3-3(8 games)
1.30–1.74avg xG (n=7)
LDWDWLDL
This match vs season so far
9 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.35avg 1.45
worst of 10 · Highest 3.07, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 0.68, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
xGA
2.10avg 1.53
2nd worst of 10 · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 0.85, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Possession
44%avg 47%
4th worst of 10 · Highest 65%, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 31%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Shots
10.0avg 13.1
5th worst of 10 · Highest 22.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 9.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.4
4th worst of 10 · Highest 7.0, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 2.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
5th worst of 10 · Highest 4.0, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 1.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Box touches
19.0avg 23.9
3rd worst of 10 · Highest 44.0, 24 October 2026 (2-3) · Lowest 8.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1)
Final third entries
42.0avg 62.9
2nd worst of 10 · Highest 101.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
8.0avg 9.1
4th best of 10 · Highest 15.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
6.0avg 5.9
4th best of 10 · Highest 13.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Tackles
23.0avg 17.8
2nd best of 10 · Highest 31.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 10.0, 24 October 2026 (2-3)
Interceptions
2.0avg 11.1
worst of 10 · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 6.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1)
PPDA
11.3avg 15.5
2nd best of 10 · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Counter-press rate
12%avg 6%
best of 10 · Highest 9%, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 1%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg