Dundee FC
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.82xG
-1.11AFC xGD
xG0.72
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Dundee FC generated more attacking volume — 18 shots and 25 box touches to Aberdeen's 9 and 25.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.72 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.72–1.82), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.72 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.72–1.82). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.72 – 1.82
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.08 – 0.10
xG per shot
9 – 18
shots
Dundee FC created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionGAME STATE
3.08 – 1.53
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
62% – 38%
field tilt
73 – 80
final-third entries
Aberdeen had more of the play in Dundee FC's half, but were behind for 90% of the match — from the 9th minute. A side protecting a lead cedes territory by design, so this is the scoreline talking, not control.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.82 xGA
chances conceded
0.26 worse than AFC baseline (1.56)
25 (base 26)
Dundee FC box touches
0.10
xG per Dundee FC shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-2-3-1 and stayed in it for the whole match — the changes were personnel, not shape, despite chasing the game. Dundee FC stayed in 4-2-3-1 throughout.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.71Dundee FC 2.22GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
8%
17%
75%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Dundee FC Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
18 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
9shots · 4 on target · 0.72 xG
By situation
56%
44%
Open play556%
Corner444%
By body part
22%
22%
56%
Right foot222%
Left foot222%
Head556%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Dundee FC 18
🟨↔↔↔↔↔🟨🟨🟨
↔↔↔↔↔⚽🟨⚽
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | SPFL average 66 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9 | 9.8 | 12.1 | 14.8 | below usual · 52 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 52 of 190 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 8 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 10.2 | about normal · 98 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 98 of 190 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
38.0%
41.1%
20.9%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
81.1%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
37avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
66avg 49
Directness
56.6%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 411 | 376.8 | 392.4 | about normal · 104 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 104 of 190 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 68.4 | 75.4 | 72.2 | below usual · 49 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 49 of 190 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 36 | 27.2 | 25.2 | above usual · 162 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 162 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 74 | 53.2 | 57.8 | above usual · 169 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 169 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 18 | 14.4 | 15.6 | above usual · 145 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 145 of 190 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Dundee FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.70 | 1.17 | 2.22 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.8 | 5 |
| Touches in box | 25 | 21.6 | 25 |
| Possession % | 54 | 48.1 | 46 |
The second half only looks like a revival next to the first. At 0.65 xG it was an ordinary Aberdeen half (0.66 usual); the first, at 0.05 against 0.51, was the outlier.
FotMob period stats — same source as the match xG. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26 — this season is too short to average yet. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Dundee FC.
Players
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
5 saves
17/37
Pass
-
Duels
5
Saves
DEF
C. CaddenDEF90'
18/31
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
L. MayoDEF65'
5 clearances
26/34
Pass
75%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
D. HappeDEF90'
3 shots · 4 tackles · 9 clearances
59/70
Pass
92%
Duels
6
Tkl+Int
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF90'
32/43
Pass
60%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
S. ArmstrongMID90'
4 key passes
47/59
Pass
33%
Duels
4
Key P
A. AremuMID45'
17/22
Pass
43%
Duels
-
Key P
T. OlusanyaMID87'
2 key passes
10/15
Pass
31%
Duels
2
Key P
A. BriedlMID65'
16/23
Pass
29%
Duels
-
Key P
T. YoganeMID45'
8/10
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD90'
4/11
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
L. SmithFWD45'
7/11
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
A. MoulouaFWD45'
6/9
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Shots
J. MilneDEF25'
14/22
Pass
25%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
F. MarshallMID25'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
9/12
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Key P
F
A. FasanyaFWD8'
0/1
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Dundee FC — every meeting on record
3-1-3(7 games)
1.06–1.42avg xG
LWWWLDL
This match vs season so far
4 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.72avg 1.19
avg of 4 games · Highest 2.66, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 0.35, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
xGA
1.83avg 1.93
avg of 4 games · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 1.11, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Possession
53%avg 46%
avg of 4 games · Highest 55%, 5 September 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 34%, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Shots
9.0avg 10.0
avg of 4 games · Highest 11.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 9.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 2.3
avg of 4 games · Highest 3.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.3
avg of 4 games · Highest 2.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 1.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
Box touches
25.0avg 19.0
avg of 4 games · Highest 24.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 12.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Final third entries
73.0avg 47.8
avg of 4 games · Highest 61.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
7.0avg 6.8
avg of 4 games · Highest 8.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
4.0avg 5.3
avg of 4 games · Highest 6.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1)
Tackles
17.0avg 19.0
avg of 4 games · Highest 23.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 16.0, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Interceptions
7.0avg 11.0
avg of 4 games · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
PPDA
11.5avg 15.4
avg of 4 games · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Counter-press rate
5%avg 7%
avg of 4 games · Highest 12%, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 5%, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
avg
Above avg
Below avg