St Johnstone (H) 0–1
Dundee United (A) →Premiership · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Pittodrie
Aberdeen3
St Mirren1
FULL TIME · WONAberdeen: A. Mouloua 72′ · Aberdeen: K. Nisbet 58′ · St Mirren: E. Sule 42′ · Aberdeen: B. Lyons 2′
2.83Aberdeen xG1.03St Mirren xG2.47Aberdeen expected pointsDeserved win
The verdict
Event data: Opta
A dominant second-half attacking performance after a poor first half.
Aberdeen generated 2.56 xG after the break, having managed just 0.27 before it.
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.83 – 1.03
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.29 · non-penalty 2.04–1.03
0.17 – 0.08
xG per shot
17 – 13
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.17 xG per shot to 0.08.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.91 – 2.11
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 2.33
55% – 45%
field tilt
46 – 64
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.03 xGA
chances conceded
0.53 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
24 (base 26)
St. Mirren box touches
0.08
xG per St. Mirren shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-2-3-1 and stayed in it for the whole match. St. Mirren stayed in 4-4-2 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 2.83 | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| Big chances | 4 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Touches in box | 21 | 21.4 | 23 |
| Possession % | 34 | 46.1 | 66 |
Aberdeen were a different side after half time — 2.56 xG to 0.27 before it.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 9 games in 2026-27. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with St. Mirren.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.83St. Mirren 1.03GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
82%
12%
6%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
3 goals: 1 open play, 2 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots
St Mirren shots
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
17shots · 13 on target · 2.83 xG
By situation
71%
18%
Open play1271%
Corner16%
Free kick / throw318%
Penalty16%
By body part
65%
18%
18%
Right foot1165%
Left foot318%
Head318%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 17St. Mirren 13
↔🟨↔⚽↔⚽↔↔⚽
↔↔↔🟨⚽🟨
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 9 games | 5-year 194 games | SPFL average 104 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17 | 12 | 12.2 | 14.3 | above usual · 152 of 194 lower |
| above usual · 152 of 194 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 10 | 7.4 | 8 | 9.8 | above usual · 136 of 194 lower |
| above usual · 136 of 194 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
44.7%
36.9%
18.4%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
80.0%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
30avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
86.2%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
34avg 50
Directness
62.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 9 games | 5-year 194 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 269 | 384.4 | 392.4 | below usual · 24 of 194 lower |
| below usual · 24 of 194 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 72.9 | 75.6 | 72.3 | about normal · 89 of 194 lower |
| about normal · 89 of 194 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 20 | 29.3 | 25.3 | about normal · 60 of 194 lower |
| about normal · 60 of 194 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 41 | 56.1 | 57.9 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 14 of 194 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 14 of 194 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.2 | 14.9 | 15.6 | about normal · 101 of 194 lower |
| about normal · 101 of 194 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
1 key pass · 6 saves
16/30
Pass
0%
Duels
6
Saves
DEF
C. CaddenDEF90'
1 key pass · 3 interceptions
16/28
Pass
63%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
L. MayoDEF90'
25/30
Pass
80%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
23/28
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass · 4 interceptions
19/22
Pass
50%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
MID
B. LyonsMID45'
1 goal · 1 key pass
9/14
Pass
60%
Duels
1
Key P
A. AfeezMID90'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 3 interceptions
28/32
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
L. SmithMID76'
3 key passes
8/15
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Key P
C. RonanMID45'
1 assist · 1 key pass
9/13
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Key P
T. OlusanyaMID71'
1 key pass
12/13
Pass
20%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD89'
1 goal · 7 shots
7/11
Pass
33%
Duels
7
Shots
Substitutes
S. ArmstrongMID45'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
18/21
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Key P
T. YoganeFWD45'
3 shots
4/6
Pass
57%
Duels
3
Shots
A. MoulouaFWD19'
1 goal · 1 key pass
6/9
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Shots
E. GyamfiDEF14'
3/3
Pass
17%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
F. MarshallMID1'
0/0
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
Context
How this match compares
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
2.83xG
1st of 9 · season best
+1.80xGD
1st of 9 · season best
7shots on target
1st of 9 · season best
4big chances
1st of 9 · season best
1.03xGA
2nd of 9 · 2nd best
17shots
2nd of 9 · 2nd best
Form:LDWDL(last 5)
Home this season: 2-1-2, 1.72–1.46 xG avg
After scoring first: 2-1-0 (3 games)
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs St. Mirren at Home — every meeting on record
4-3-4(11 games)
1.81–1.43avg xG (n=10)
LDLWLWLWDWD
This match vs season so far
8 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.83avg 1.10
best of 9 · Highest 2.66, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 0.35, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
xGA
1.03avg 1.63
2nd best of 9 · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 0.85, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Possession
35%avg 48%
3rd worst of 9 · Highest 65%, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 31%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Shots
17.0avg 11.4
2nd best of 9 · Highest 22.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 9.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Shots on target
7.0avg 2.9
best of 9 · Highest 5.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.4
best of 9 · Highest 2.0, 1 August 2026 (2-1) · Lowest 1.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Box touches
21.0avg 21.1
5th best of 9 · Highest 38.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 8.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1)
Final third entries
46.0avg 60.5
3rd worst of 9 · Highest 101.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
13.0avg 7.9
2nd best of 9 · Highest 15.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
2.0avg 6.1
2nd worst of 9 · Highest 13.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Tackles
15.0avg 19.8
2nd worst of 9 · Highest 31.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 14.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1)
Interceptions
13.0avg 9.8
3rd best of 9 · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
PPDA
16.0avg 15.2
3rd worst of 9 · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Counter-press rate
7%avg 7%
5th best of 9 · Highest 12%, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 1%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg