St Mirren (H) 3–1
Falkirk (H) →Premiership · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Away
Dundee United3
Aberdeen2
FULL TIME · LOSTDundee United: Z. Sapsford 72′ · Aberdeen: C. Ronan 56′ · Dundee United: D. Tait 27′ · Aberdeen: N. Guinness-Walker 25′ · Dundee United: Z. Iqbal 14′
1.56Aberdeen xG1.50Dundee United xG1.54Aberdeen expected pointsTight game
The verdict
Event data: Opta
Aberdeen edged the chances but still lost.
20–14 shots · 2–2 big chances · 1.56–1.50 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
1.56 – 1.50
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.34
0.08 – 0.11
xG per shot
20 – 14
shots
Dundee United created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionGAME STATE
5.07 – 2.85
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xT baseline: 2.60
65% – 35%
field tilt
78 – 68
final-third entries
Aberdeen had more of the play in Dundee United's half, but were behind for 64% of the match, having first gone behind in the 14th minute. Teams that are behind usually see more of the ball, so the territory may reflect the scoreline as much as control.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.09 better than AFC baseline (1.59)
23 (base 26)
Dundee United box touches
0.11
xG per Dundee United shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-4-2 and stayed in it for the whole match — the changes were personnel, not shape, despite chasing the game. Dundee United stayed in 4-3-3 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 1.56 | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| Big chances | 2 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Touches in box | 45 | 23.8 | 23 |
| Possession % | 55 | 47.0 | 45 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 10 games in 2026-27. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Dundee United.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.56Dundee United 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
39%
26%
36%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots
Dundee United shots
3 goals: 2 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
20shots · 3 on target · 1.56 xG
By situation
70%
15%
15%
Open play1470%
Corner315%
Free kick / throw315%
By body part
60%
15%
25%
Right foot1260%
Left foot315%
Head525%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 20Dundee United 14
↔↔⚽↔⚽🟨
↔↔⚽↔⚽⚽
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 20 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | above usual · 172 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 172 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 16 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | top 10% in 195 matches · 184 of 195 lower |
| top 10% in 195 matches · 184 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
34.9%
43.2%
21.9%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
69.2%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
39avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
91.8%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
99avg 50
Directness
61.3%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 502 | 396.2 | 393 | above usual · 168 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 168 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 74.7 | 75.5 | 72.3 | about normal · 108 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 108 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 44 | 30.8 | 25.4 | top 10% in 195 matches · 177 of 195 lower |
| top 10% in 195 matches · 177 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 70 | 57.5 | 57.9 | above usual · 161 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 161 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.9 | 14.8 | 15.6 | about normal · 77 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 77 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
2 saves
20/39
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
C. CaddenDEF90'
26/31
Pass
75%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
J. MilneDEF90'
5 clearances
53/61
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
3 interceptions · 4 aerials won
61/66
Pass
83%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF90'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 3 shots
30/35
Pass
57%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
B. LyonsMID90'
1 key pass · 6 shots · 5 clearances
26/34
Pass
71%
Duels
1
Key P
S. ArmstrongMID76'
5 key passes
40/52
Pass
29%
Duels
5
Key P
A. AremuMID45'
21/28
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
C. RonanMID90'
1 goal · 2 key passes · 3 shots
48/62
Pass
20%
Duels
2
Key P
FWD
A. MoulouaFWD65'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
10/15
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
K. NisbetFWD90'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
17/29
Pass
14%
Duels
3
Shots
Substitutes
L. SmithFWD45'
1 assist · 1 key pass
16/20
Pass
60%
Duels
1
Shots
T. OlusanyaFWD25'
2/3
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
H. MahouFWD14'
1 key pass
9/15
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
Context
How this match compares
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
18
Passes into the box
highest of 195
44
Touches in the box
5th highest of 195
52.80
Average pass position
6th highest of 195
204
Passes in the opposition half
10th highest of 195
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
44box touches
1st of 10 · season best
20shots
2nd of 10 · 2nd best
2big chances
2nd of 10 · 2nd best
65%field tilt
2nd of 10 · 2nd best
99progressive passes
2nd of 10 · 2nd best
Form:DWDLW(last 5)
Away this season: 1-1-3, 0.91–1.65 xG avg
After scoring first: 2-1-0 (3 games)
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Dundee United — every meeting on record
1-1-6(8 games)
1.11–1.63avg xG (n=7)
DLLLWLLL
This match vs season so far
9 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.56avg 1.32
4th best of 10 · Highest 3.07, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 0.35, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
xGA
1.50avg 1.60
5th worst of 10 · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 0.85, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Possession
55%avg 46%
2nd best of 10 · Highest 65%, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 31%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Shots
20.0avg 12.0
2nd best of 10 · Highest 22.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 9.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.3
4th best of 10 · Highest 7.0, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
2nd best of 10 · Highest 4.0, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 1.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Box touches
44.0avg 21.1
best of 10 · Highest 38.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 8.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1)
Final third entries
78.0avg 58.9
2nd best of 10 · Highest 101.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
14.0avg 8.4
2nd best of 10 · Highest 15.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
8.0avg 5.7
3rd best of 10 · Highest 13.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Tackles
10.0avg 19.2
worst of 10 · Highest 31.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 14.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1)
Interceptions
11.0avg 10.1
5th worst of 10 · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
PPDA
13.0avg 15.3
5th best of 10 · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Counter-press rate
6%avg 7%
5th worst of 10 · Highest 12%, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 1%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg