Dundee United (A) 2–3
Rangers (A) →The verdict
Event data: Opta
Aberdeen created the better chances but failed to convert them.
15–13 shots · 2–0 big chances · 1.68–1.06 NPxG
Summary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.68 – 1.06
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Falkirk FC
AFC xG baseline: 1.37
0.11 – 0.08
xG per shot
15 – 13
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.11 xG per shot to 0.08.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.92 – 1.69
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Falkirk FC
AFC xT baseline: 2.54
50% – 50%
field tilt
49 – 73
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.06 xGA
chances conceded
0.51 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
22 (base 25)
Falkirk FC box touches
0.08
xG per Falkirk FC shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-3-3 and stayed in it for the whole match. Falkirk FC stayed in 4-2-3-1 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Falkirk FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 1.68 | 1.37 | 1.06 |
| Big chances | 2 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Touches in box | 27 | 24.1 | 22 |
| Possession % | 45 | 46.8 | 55 |
Aberdeen's best work came before half time — 1.17 xG to 0.51 after.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 11 games in 2026-27. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Falkirk FC.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.67Falkirk FC 1.06GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
53%
25%
23%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots
Falkirk FC shots
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
15shots · 12 on target · 1.67 xG
By situation
33%
20%
40%
Open play533%
Counter320%
Corner640%
Free kick / throw17%
By body part
47%
27%
27%
Right foot747%
Left foot427%
Head427%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 15Falkirk FC 13
🟨↔↔↔↔↔🟨
🟨🟨🟨↔↔⚽🟨↔↔↔
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 11 games | 5-year 196 games | SPFL average 132 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 | 13 | 12.2 | 14.5 | about normal · 129 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 129 of 196 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 13 | 8.7 | 8 | 10 | above usual · 168 of 196 lower |
| above usual · 168 of 196 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
49.7%
37.8%
12.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
69.4%avg 60.8%
GK Total Passes
36avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.7%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
46avg 50
Directness
58.8%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 11 games | 5-year 196 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 379 | 394.6 | 392.9 | about normal · 89 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 89 of 196 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 70.2 | 75 | 72.3 | about normal · 66 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 66 of 196 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 25 | 30.3 | 25.4 | about normal · 104 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 104 of 196 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 55 | 57.3 | 57.9 | about normal · 80 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 196 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.5 | 14.8 | 15.5 | about normal · 89 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 89 of 196 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M. MüllerGK90'
3 saves
18/36
Pass
-
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
C. CaddenDEF50'
22/31
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
7 clearances · 4 aerials won
35/46
Pass
86%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
D. HappeDEF66'
1 key pass
28/35
Pass
43%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
N. Guinness-WalkerDEF90'
1 key pass · 6 clearances
24/36
Pass
55%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
B. LyonsMID90'
1 key pass · 4 shots · 8 aerials won
29/42
Pass
73%
Duels
1
Key P
A. AfeezMID57'
20/24
Pass
83%
Duels
-
Key P
L. SmithMID57'
5/10
Pass
11%
Duels
-
Key P
K. NisbetMID90'
1 key pass
6/17
Pass
57%
Duels
1
Key P
S. ArmstrongMID90'
4 key passes
44/47
Pass
42%
Duels
4
Key P
FWD
A. MoulouaFWD66'
1 key pass · 4 aerials won
10/19
Pass
47%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
N. DevlinDEF40'
7/11
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
H. MahouFWD33'
5 tackles
9/10
Pass
71%
Duels
1
Shots
F. MarshallMID33'
4/7
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
J. MilneDEF24'
6 clearances
7/8
Pass
100%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
T. OlusanyaFWD24'
1/1
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Shots
Context
How this match compares
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 196 · tied with 28
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
1.06xGA
2nd of 11 · 2nd best
5shots on target
2nd of 11 · 2nd best
2big chances
2nd of 11 · 2nd best
+0.61xGD
3rd of 11 · 3rd best
27box touches
3rd of 11 · 3rd best
Form:WDLWL(last 5)
Home this season: 2-1-3, 1.75–1.45 xG avg
After scoring first: 2-1-0 (3 games)
Historical Context
How this match compares to the season so far
This match vs season so far
10 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.67avg 1.34
4th best of 11 · Highest 3.07, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 0.35, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
xGA
1.06avg 1.61
2nd best of 11 · Highest 2.67, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 0.85, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Possession
45%avg 47%
5th worst of 11 · Highest 65%, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 31%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Shots
15.0avg 12.8
4th best of 11 · Highest 22.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 9.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.3
2nd best of 11 · Highest 7.0, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
2nd best of 11 · Highest 4.0, 17 October 2026 (3-1) · Lowest 1.0, 8 August 2026 (0-2)
Box touches
27.0avg 23.4
3rd best of 11 · Highest 44.0, 24 October 2026 (2-3) · Lowest 8.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1)
Final third entries
49.0avg 60.8
4th worst of 11 · Highest 101.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 35.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Key passes
9.0avg 9.0
4th best of 11 · Highest 15.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 4.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3)
Corners
5.0avg 5.9
6th best of 11 · Highest 13.0, 11 October 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
Tackles
17.0avg 18.3
6th best of 11 · Highest 31.0, 19 September 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 10.0, 24 October 2026 (2-3)
Interceptions
7.0avg 10.2
4th worst of 11 · Highest 15.0, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 2.0, 30 August 2026 (0-1)
PPDA
18.9avg 15.1
3rd worst of 11 · Highest 28.2, 2 September 2026 (0-3) · Lowest 9.7, 5 September 2026 (0-0)
Counter-press rate
4%avg 7%
2nd worst of 11 · Highest 12%, 30 August 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 1%, 15 September 2026 (4-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg