Aberdeen
3–1
FT · Win
Hibernian
2.19xG
+1.64AFC xGD
xG0.55
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
14–7 shots · 3–0 big chances · 0.62–0.55 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.19 – 0.55
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 0.62–0.55
0.16 – 0.08
xG per shot
14 – 7
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.16 xG per shot to 0.08.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.90 – 1.57
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
44% – 56%
field tilt
51 – 56
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.55 xGA
chances conceded
0.42 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
8 (base 17)
Hibernian box touches
0.08
xG per Hibernian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.19Hibernian 0.55GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
84%
12%
3%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
3 goals: 1 open play, 2 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
14shots · 6 on target
By situation
64%
14%
14%
Open play964%
Corner17%
Free kick / throw214%
Penalty214%
By body part
71%
21%
Right foot1071%
Left foot17%
Head321%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 14Hibernian 7
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 129 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 129 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
55.7%
30.1%
14.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
91.7%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
57avg 49
Directness
55.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 476 | 371.9 | 392 | above usual · 150 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 150 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 79.8 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 163 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 163 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 20 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 60 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 60 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 71 | 54.6 | 57.8 | above usual · 162 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 162 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.9 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 92 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 92 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
2 saves
15/24
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
R
C. RamsayDEF78'
28/34
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
G
D. GallagherDEF90'
59/69
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
B
D. BatesDEF90'
67/71
Pass
56%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
H
J. HayesDEF90'
3 interceptions
27/43
Pass
29%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
B
C. BarronMID89'
2 key passes · 4 aerials won
35/45
Pass
55%
Duels
2
Key P
B
V. BesuijenMID89'
1 goal · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
19/21
Pass
38%
Duels
1
Key P
M
R. McCrorieMID90'
27/32
Pass
69%
Duels
-
Key P
F
L. FergusonMID90'
2 goals · 5 shots
51/62
Pass
57%
Duels
-
Key P
M
C. McLennanMID78'
4 key passes · 3 shots
22/24
Pass
33%
Duels
4
Key P
FWD
R
C. RamirezFWD87'
2/3
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
M
D. McGeouchMID12'
23/27
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
W
M. WatkinsFWD12'
1 assist · 1 key pass
8/8
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Shots
R
M. RuthFWD3'
1/1
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
J
T. JenksMID1'
1/1
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID1'
4/4
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Hibernian at Home — every meeting on record
5-2-4(11 games)
1.34–1.34avg xG (n=9)
WLWLDLDWWLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.19avg 1.07
3rd best of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
0.55avg 0.98
12th best of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
62%avg 57%
16th best of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
14.0avg 13.2
17th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
5.0avg 4.4
10th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 25 January 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.0
2nd best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
20.0avg 19.1
13th best of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
51.0avg 61.9
12th worst of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 28 November 2021 (1-2)
Key passes
8.0avg 10.0
15th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
4.0avg 5.1
19th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 October 2021 (1-0)
Tackles
14.0avg 12.4
11th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 8.1
11th best of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
8.6avg 15.9
5th best of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
3big chances
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
2.19xG
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
+1.64xGD
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:DDDLL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 1.42–0.78 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
8.55
PPDA
10th lowest of 192