Aberdeen
2–0
FT · Win
Livingston
1.18xG
+1.09AFC xGD
xG0.08
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.07 xG per shot to 0.04, and the bigger ones (1–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.18–0.08), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.18–0.08). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.18Livingston 0.08GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.18 – 0.08
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.07 – 0.04
xG per shot
18 – 2
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.07 xG per shot to 0.04.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.39 – 0.77
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
71 – 49
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.08 xGA
chances conceded
0.89 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Livingston box touches
0.04
xG per Livingston shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.08xGA
1st of 38 · season best
103progressive passes
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:DWLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match