
Aberdeen
0–1
FT · Loss
St. Johnstone
0.55xG
+0.24AFC xGD
xG0.31
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.05 xG per shot to 0.03, and the bigger ones (0–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.55–0.31), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.55–0.31). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.55St. Johnstone 0.31GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.55 – 0.31
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.05 – 0.03
xG per shot
11 – 9
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.05 xG per shot to 0.03.
Territory & progressionEVEN
3.16 – 0.91
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
83 – 58
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.31 xGA
chances conceded
0.66 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
St. Johnstone box touches
0.03
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWDDL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match