
Dundee FC
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
0.56xG
+0.40AFC xGD
xG0.96
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (0.96–0.56), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.96–0.56). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.96Dundee FC 0.56GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
0.96 – 0.56
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.06 – 0.06
xG per shot
17 – 9
shots (AFC – Dundee FC)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.72 – 1.54
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
70 – 74
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.56 xGA
chances conceded
0.42 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Dundee FC box touches
0.06
xG per Dundee FC shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match