Rangers
2–2
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
2.34xG
-1.32AFC xGD
xG1.02
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 18 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 6 and —. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.17 xG per shot to 0.13, and the bigger ones (2–4 big chances). The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.02–2.34) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.02–1.55.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (1.02–2.34), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.02–1.55). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.02Rangers 2.34GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.02 – 2.34
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 1.02–1.55
0.17 – 0.13
xG per shot
6 – 18
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.07 – 3.30
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
47 – 58
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.34 xGA
chances conceded
1.37 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Rangers box touches
0.13
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
2.34xGA
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLLW(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match