Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Dundee FC
1.12xG
+1.00AFC xGD
xG0.12
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.12–0.12), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.12–0.12). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.12Dundee FC 0.12GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.12 – 0.12
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.06 – 0.06
xG per shot
19 – 2
shots (AFC – Dundee FC)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.94 – 0.86
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
50 – 62
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.12 xGA
chances conceded
0.85 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Dundee FC box touches
0.06
xG per Dundee FC shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.12xGA
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:LWWWL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match