Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Rangers
1.49xG
+0.46AFC xGD
xG1.03
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.49–1.03) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.70–1.03.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.49–1.03), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.70–1.03). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.49Rangers 1.03GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.49 – 1.03
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 0.70–1.03
0.10 – 0.15
xG per shot
15 – 7
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.32 – 0.70
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
48 – 31
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.03 xGA
chances conceded
0.06 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Rangers box touches
0.15
xG per Rangers shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
15high regains
1st of 38 · season best
Form:WWWLW(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match