Hearts
1–1
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
1.17xG
-0.64AFC xGD
xG0.54
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Two points dropped on the chances created.
Hearts generated more attacking volume — 7 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 6 and —. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.54–1.17) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.54–0.39.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.54–1.17), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.54–0.39). Took 1.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.54Hearts 1.17GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.54 – 1.17
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 0.54–0.39
0.09 – 0.17
xG per shot
6 – 7
shots (AFC – Hearts)
Hearts created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.93 – 1.23
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
60 – 65
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.17 xGA
chances conceded
0.20 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Hearts box touches
0.17
xG per Hearts shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WW(last 2)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match