St. Mirren
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
0.13xG
+0.34AFC xGD
xG0.47
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.04 xG per shot to 0.03, and the bigger ones (0–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (0.47–0.13), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.47–0.13). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.47St. Mirren 0.13GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.47 – 0.13
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.04 – 0.03
xG per shot
11 – 4
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.04 xG per shot to 0.03.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.67 – 1.16
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
74 – 60
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.13 xGA
chances conceded
0.84 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
St. Mirren box touches
0.03
xG per St. Mirren shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0shots on target
37th of 38 · among the worst
0.13xGA
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:WWLWD(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match