AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Tue, 25 Jan 2022 · Away
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St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
0.13xG
+0.34AFC xGD
xG0.47
Expected points 0.72–1.59
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

11–4 shots · 0–0 big chances · 0.47–0.13 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.47 – 0.13
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.04 – 0.03
xG per shot
11 – 4
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.04 xG per shot to 0.03.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.67 – 1.16
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
47% – 53%
field tilt
74 – 60
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.13 xGA
chances conceded
0.84 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
12 (base 17)
St. Mirren box touches
0.03
xG per St. Mirren shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.47St. Mirren 0.13GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
34%
58%
8%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Ronan
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots

St. Mirren Shot Map

1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
4 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

11shots · 0 on target
By situation
73%
27%
Open play873%
Corner327%
By body part
73%
18%
9%
Right foot873%
Left foot218%
Head19%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11St. Mirren 4
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots119.912.114.4
about normal · 80 of 192 lower
Shots in the box75.97.99.8
about normal · 76 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
53.3%
32.1%
14.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
88.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
69avg 49
Directness
58.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes592371.9392
top 10% in 192 matches · 188 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %79.675.772.2
above usual · 160 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third4426.325.2
top 10% in 192 matches · 176 of 192 lower
Long balls6154.657.8
about normal · 113 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes10.31515.6
bottom 10% — fewest since vs Kilmarnock, Sept 2026 · 18 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
DEF
R
C. RamsayDEF78'
2 key passes
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
B
D. BatesDEF90'
6 aerials won
C
D. CampbellDEF90'
2 key passes
MID
B
S. BrownMID90'
1 key pass
F
L. FergusonMID90'
1 key pass
H
R. HedgesMID62'
4 key passes
J
T. JenksMID73'
O
F. OjoMID90'
FWD
R
C. RamirezFWD90'
3 shots
Substitutes
E
J. Emmanuel-ThomasFWD28'
M
C. McLennanFWD17'
K
M. KennedyFWD12'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At St. Mirren — every meeting on record
1-2-6(9 games)
1.05–1.61avg xG (n=8)
LWLLLDLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.47avg 1.12
5th worst of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
0.13avg 0.99
3rd best of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
68%avg 57%
8th best of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
11.0avg 13.3
16th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
0.0avg 4.5
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.1
15th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
13.0avg 19.3
12th worst of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
74.0avg 61.3
8th best of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 28 November 2021 (1-2)
Key passes
10.0avg 9.9
19th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
4.0avg 5.1
19th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 October 2021 (1-0)
Tackles
13.0avg 12.4
15th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
6.0avg 8.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
13.3avg 15.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

0shots on target
37th of 38 · among the worst
0.13xGA
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:WWLWD(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.78–1.16 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
0.130
xG conceded
4th lowest of 230
471
Open-play passes
7th highest of 192