Livingston
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.06xG
-0.04AFC xGD
xG1.02
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.02–1.06), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.02–1.06). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.02Livingston 1.06GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
1.02 – 1.06
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.07 – 0.13
xG per shot
14 – 8
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Livingston created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.19 – 1.14
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
59 – 41
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.06 xGA
chances conceded
0.09 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Livingston box touches
0.13
xG per Livingston shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWDLD(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match