St. Johnstone
0–1
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.21xG
+0.56AFC xGD
xG0.77
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.06 xG per shot to 0.03, and the bigger ones (0–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (0.77–0.21), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.77–0.21). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.77St. Johnstone 0.21GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
0.77 – 0.21
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.06 – 0.03
xG per shot
14 – 8
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.06 xG per shot to 0.03.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.62 – 1.39
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
54 – 71
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.21 xGA
chances conceded
0.76 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
St. Johnstone box touches
0.03
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLLWW(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match