AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sun, 28 Nov 2021 · Away
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Celtic
Celtic
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.31xG
-1.45AFC xGD
xG0.85
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

4–20 shots · 1–3 big chances · 0.07–2.31 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.85 – 2.31
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 0.07–2.31
0.21 – 0.12
xG per shot
4 – 20
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
0.74 – 2.53
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
36% – 65%
field tilt
36 – 84
final-third entries
Celtic had the better of the territorial battle.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.31 xGA
chances conceded
1.34 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
37 (base 17)
Celtic box touches
0.12
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.85Celtic 2.31GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
6%
19%
75%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Jota1-1 · Ferguson1-2 · McGregor
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
4 shots

Celtic Shot Map

2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

4shots · 2 on target
By situation
50%
25%
25%
Open play250%
Corner125%
Penalty125%
By body part
50%
25%
25%
Right foot250%
Left foot125%
Head125%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 4Celtic 20
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots49.912.114.4
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 4 of 192 lower
Shots in the box25.97.99.8
bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
64.5%
25.4%
10.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
86.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
25avg 49
Directness
55.1%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes366371.9392
about normal · 81 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %75.475.772.2
about normal · 113 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third1526.325.2
below usual · 29 of 192 lower
Long balls5554.657.8
about normal · 79 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes151515.6
about normal · 94 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
3 saves
DEF
G
J. GurrDEF90'
4 tackles · 5 clearances
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
4 aerials won
B
D. BatesDEF90'
7 clearances
H
J. HayesDEF90'
5 clearances
MID
F
L. FergusonMID90'
1 goal · 4 tackles
B
S. BrownMID66'
M
D. McGeouchMID49'
FWD
H
R. HedgesFWD90'
R
C. RamirezFWD90'
1 key pass
W
M. WatkinsFWD66'
Substitutes
C
D. CampbellMID41'
1 key pass
J
T. JenksMID24'
1 key pass
S
A. SamuelsFWD24'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Celtic — every meeting on record
0-1-9(10 games)
0.60–3.06avg xG (n=7)
LLLDLLLLLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.85avg 1.11
16th worst of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
2.31avg 0.93
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
38%avg 58%
4th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
4.0avg 13.5
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
2.0avg 4.5
8th worst of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 25 January 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.1
12th best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
7.0avg 19.5
4th worst of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
36.0avg 62.4
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Key passes
3.0avg 10.1
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
3.0avg 5.1
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 October 2021 (1-0)
Tackles
20.0avg 12.2
3rd best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
4.0avg 8.2
8th worst of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
25.5avg 15.4
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

36%field tilt
38th of 38 · season worst
-1.46xGD
37th of 38 · among the worst
4shots
37th of 38 · among the worst
25progressive passes
37th of 38 · among the worst
2.31xGA
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WDWLL(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.78–1.16 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
38.10
Average pass position
lowest of 192
0.212
xG per shot
6th highest of 191
7
Touches in the box
10th lowest of 192 · tied with 5