AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sun, 3 Oct 2021 · Pittodrie
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Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1–2
FT · Loss
Celtic
Celtic
0.57xG
-1.08AFC xGD
xG1.65
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

11–7 shots · 0–4 big chances · 0.57–1.65 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.57 – 1.65
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.05 – 0.24
xG per shot
11 – 7
shots
Celtic created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.13 – 2.73
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
52% – 48%
field tilt
74 – 57
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.65 xGA
chances conceded
0.68 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
14 (base 17)
Celtic box touches
0.24
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.57Celtic 1.65GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
8%
21%
70%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Furuhashi1-1 · Ferguson1-2 · Jota
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots

Celtic Shot Map

2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

11shots · 5 on target
By situation
45%
36%
18%
Open play545%
Corner436%
Free kick / throw218%
By body part
73%
9%
9%
9%
Right foot873%
Left foot19%
Head19%
Other19%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11Celtic 7
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots119.912.114.4
about normal · 80 of 192 lower
Shots in the box65.97.99.8
below usual · 54 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
47.8%
34.9%
17.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
83.9%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
43avg 49
Directness
52.8%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes321371.9392
below usual · 46 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %69.575.772.2
about normal · 62 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third3126.325.2
above usual · 139 of 192 lower
Long balls7154.657.8
above usual · 162 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes22.11515.6
top 10% in 192 matches · 175 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
W
G. WoodsGK90'
DEF
R
C. RamsayDEF90'
1 assist · 3 key passes
B
D. BatesDEF90'
5 clearances
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
1 key pass
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
5 tackles
MID
H
J. HayesMID90'
1 key pass
L
M. LongstaffMID88'
2 key passes
B
S. BrownMID72'
2 key passes
S
A. SamuelsMID78'
3 shots
FWD
F
L. FergusonFWD90'
1 goal · 4 shots
R
C. RamirezFWD90'
6 clearances
Substitutes
M
D. McGeouchMID18'
M
C. McLennanFWD12'
C
D. CampbellMID2'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

Vs Celtic at Home — every meeting on record
0-2-7(9 games)
0.95–2.10avg xG (n=8)
LLLLDLLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.57avg 1.12
8th worst of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
1.65avg 0.95
6th worst of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
39%avg 58%
5th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
11.0avg 13.3
16th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
5.0avg 4.4
10th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 25 January 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.1
15th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
18.0avg 19.2
19th best of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
74.0avg 61.3
8th best of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 28 November 2021 (1-2)
Key passes
9.0avg 10.0
18th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
6.0avg 5.0
9th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 October 2021 (1-0)
Tackles
15.0avg 12.3
9th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
8.0avg 8.1
19th best of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
16.5avg 15.7
17th worst of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DDLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 1.42–0.78 xG avg