
Aberdeen
2–3
FT · Loss
Celtic
0.67xG
-0.45AFC xGD
xG1.12
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Celtic generated more attacking volume — 12 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 8 and —.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.67–1.12), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.67–1.12). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.67Celtic 1.12GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.67 – 1.12
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.08 – 0.09
xG per shot
8 – 12
shots (AFC – Celtic)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.29 – 1.98
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
57 – 74
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.12 xGA
chances conceded
0.15 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Celtic box touches
0.09
xG per Celtic shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
10high regains
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:WDLDL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match