Aberdeen
4–1
FT · Win
St. Mirren
4.40xG
+3.45AFC xGD
xG0.95
Expected points 2.44–0.20
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.18 xG per shot to 0.07, and the bigger ones (6–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (4.40–0.95), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (4.40–0.95). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 4.40St. Mirren 0.95GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
4.40 – 0.95
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.18 – 0.07
xG per shot
24 – 13
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.18 xG per shot to 0.07.
Territory & progressionEVEN
3.08 – 2.22
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
59 – 64
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
0.95 xGA
chances conceded
0.02 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
St. Mirren box touches
0.07
xG per St. Mirren shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4.40xG
1st of 38 · season best
+3.45xGD
1st of 38 · season best
24shots
1st of 38 · season best
11shots on target
1st of 38 · season best
6big chances
1st of 38 · season best
Form:WLLLW(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match