Aberdeen
0–1
FT · LossRoss County
1.06xG
+0.14AFC xGD
xG0.92
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.06–0.92) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.06–0.13.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.06–0.92), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.06–0.13). Took 0.
Extreme misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.06Ross County 0.92GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.06 – 0.92
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 1.06–0.13
0.07 – 0.23
xG per shot
15 – 4
shots (AFC – Ross County)
Ross County created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.27 – 1.57
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
78 – 73
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
0.92 xGA
chances conceded
0.05 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Ross County box touches
0.23
xG per Ross County shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLLWD(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match