
Hibernian
1–1
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
2.02xG
-1.39AFC xGD
xG0.63
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
Hibernian generated more attacking volume — 17 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 8 and —.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.63–2.02), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.63–2.02). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.63Hibernian 2.02GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.63 – 2.02
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.08 – 0.12
xG per shot
8 – 17
shots (AFC – Hibernian)
Hibernian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.06 – 2.70
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
49 – 73
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.02 xGA
chances conceded
1.05 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Hibernian box touches
0.12
xG per Hibernian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WDLLW(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match