St. Johnstone
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
0.68xG
-0.40AFC xGD
xG0.28
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.28–0.68), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.28–0.68). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.28St. Johnstone 0.68GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.28 – 0.68
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.03 – 0.08
xG per shot
9 – 9
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
St. Johnstone created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.32 – 3.22
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
46 – 58
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.68 xGA
chances conceded
0.29 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
St. Johnstone box touches
0.08
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.28xG
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DLLWD(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match