St. Mirren
3–2
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.50xG
-0.39AFC xGD
xG1.11
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.11–1.50), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.11–1.50). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.11St. Mirren 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.11 – 1.50
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.09 – 0.12
xG per shot
13 – 13
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.53 – 2.83
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
45 – 58
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.53 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
St. Mirren box touches
0.12
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
1high regains
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WDDLL(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match