Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Heart of Midlothian
1.11xG
+0.17AFC xGD
xG0.95
Expected points 1.59–1.59
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
17–5 shots · 2–1 big chances · 1.11–0.16 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.11 – 0.95
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 1.11–0.16
0.07 – 0.19
xG per shot
17 – 5
shots
Heart of Midlothian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.01 – 1.28
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
51% – 49%
field tilt
72 – 63
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
0.95 xGA
chances conceded
0.02 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
5 (base 17)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.19
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.11Heart of Midlothian 0.95GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
35%
35%
30%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
17shots · 5 on target
By situation
71%
18%
12%
Open play1271%
Corner318%
Free kick / throw212%
By body part
47%
29%
24%
Right foot847%
Left foot529%
Head424%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 17Heart of Midlothian 5
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 152 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 152 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 12 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 157 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 157 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
49.1%
34.6%
16.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.3%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
57avg 49
Directness
54.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 449 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 131 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 131 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 72.2 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 85 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 85 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 26 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 108 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 108 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 66 | 54.6 | 57.8 | above usual · 152 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 152 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.7 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 90 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 90 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
14/36
Pass
0%
Duels
0
Saves
DEF
B
D. BatesDEF90'
7 aerials won
41/57
Pass
85%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
B
S. BrownDEF90'
52/66
Pass
80%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
3 interceptions
33/46
Pass
46%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
MID
O
F. OjoMID90'
5 aerials won
31/41
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
M
D. McGeouchMID88'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 4 key passes
36/45
Pass
0%
Duels
4
Key P
F
L. FergusonMID90'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 6 shots
39/49
Pass
47%
Duels
1
Key P
C
D. CampbellMID90'
1 key pass
27/41
Pass
75%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
H
R. HedgesFWD90'
1 assist · 2 key passes
25/34
Pass
13%
Duels
2
Shots
W
M. WatkinsFWD85'
1 goal · 2 key passes · 4 shots
15/20
Pass
24%
Duels
4
Shots
R
C. RamirezFWD90'
1 key pass · 3 shots
16/21
Pass
38%
Duels
3
Shots
Substitutes
H
J. HayesMID11'
1 key pass
1/2
Pass
-
Duels
1
Key P
M
N. McGinnMID8'
4/7
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Heart of Midlothian at Home — every meeting on record
1-0-0(1 game)
2.66–1.83avg xG
W
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.11avg 1.10
13th best of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
0.95avg 0.97
19th worst of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
51%avg 58%
12th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
17.0avg 13.2
13th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
5.0avg 4.4
10th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 25 January 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.1
5th best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
18.0avg 19.2
19th best of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
72.0avg 61.4
12th best of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 28 November 2021 (1-2)
Key passes
12.0avg 9.9
13th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
5.0avg 5.0
15th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 October 2021 (1-0)
Tackles
10.0avg 12.5
17th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 8.1
11th best of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
23.8avg 15.5
4th worst of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLLWD(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 1.42–0.78 xG avg