Aberdeen
1–0
FT · Win
Hibernian
0.24xG
+0.03AFC xGD
xG0.22
Expected points 1.59–1.59
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
6–5 shots · 0–0 big chances · 0.24–0.22 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
0.24 – 0.22
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.04 – 0.04
xG per shot
6 – 5
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.53 – 1.66
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
57% – 43%
field tilt
70 – 81
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.22 xGA
chances conceded
0.75 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
9 (base 17)
Hibernian box touches
0.04
xG per Hibernian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.24Hibernian 0.22GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
18%
66%
16%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
6 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
6shots · 2 on target
By situation
83%
17%
Open play583%
Free kick / throw117%
By body part
67%
17%
17%
Right foot467%
Left foot117%
Head117%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 6Hibernian 5
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 6 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Heart of Midlothian, Feb 2026 · 14 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Heart of Midlothian, Feb 2026 · 14 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 2 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
43.4%
30.4%
26.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
72.0%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
45avg 49
Directness
61.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 327 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 61.2 | 75.7 | 72.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 17 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 17 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 19 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 49 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 49 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 64 | 54.6 | 57.8 | above usual · 135 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 135 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 19.6 | 15 | 15.6 | above usual · 158 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 158 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
11/23
Pass
-
Duels
0
Saves
DEF
R
C. RamsayDEF30'
1 assist · 1 key pass
4/6
Pass
-
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
B
D. BatesDEF90'
11/18
Pass
67%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
G
D. GallagherDEF43'
12/20
Pass
100%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
10 aerials won
25/41
Pass
80%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
B
S. BrownMID90'
3 interceptions
21/33
Pass
43%
Duels
-
Key P
O
F. OjoMID90'
2 key passes
21/26
Pass
60%
Duels
2
Key P
F
L. FergusonMID90'
32/44
Pass
54%
Duels
-
Key P
H
R. HedgesMID90'
4 tackles
12/28
Pass
55%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
R
C. RamirezFWD90'
1 goal · 1 key pass
15/23
Pass
42%
Duels
2
Shots
W
M. WatkinsFWD78'
1 key pass
14/21
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
H
J. HayesMID60'
12/22
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
L
M. LongstaffMID47'
12/20
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
M
N. McGinnMID12'
3/5
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Hibernian at Home — every meeting on record
5-2-4(11 games)
1.55–1.37avg xG (n=9)
WLWLDLDWWLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.24avg 1.13
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
0.22avg 0.99
5th best of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
44%avg 58%
7th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
6.0avg 13.5
6th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
2.0avg 4.5
8th worst of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 25 January 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.1
15th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
14.0avg 19.3
13th worst of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
70.0avg 61.4
14th best of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 28 November 2021 (1-2)
Key passes
5.0avg 10.1
9th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
0.0avg 5.2
worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 1.0, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Tackles
13.0avg 12.4
15th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 8.1
11th best of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
19.6avg 15.6
8th worst of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.24xG
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 1.42–0.78 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
0.240
Expected goals
7th lowest of 230
0.220
xG conceded
7th lowest of 230 · tied with 1
0.040
xG per shot
8th lowest of 191 · tied with 1
0
Corners
10th lowest of 409 · tied with 9