Aberdeen
1–2
FT · Loss
Livingston
2.15xG
+0.60AFC xGD
xG1.54
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (2.15–1.54) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.36–0.75.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (2.15–1.54), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.36–0.75). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.15Livingston 1.54GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
2.15 – 1.54
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10 · non-penalty 1.36–0.75
0.12 – 0.17
xG per shot
18 – 9
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Livingston created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.68 – 1.45
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
64 – 57
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.54 xGA
chances conceded
0.57 worse than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Livingston box touches
0.17
xG per Livingston shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLWDL(last 5)
Home this season: 8-5-6, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match