Hibernian
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
0.41xG
+0.29AFC xGD
xG0.70
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.07 xG per shot to 0.07, and the bigger ones (2–1 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (0.70–0.41), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.70–0.41). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.70Hibernian 0.41GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.70 – 0.41
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.07 – 0.07
xG per shot
10 – 6
shots (AFC – Hibernian)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.67 – 1.33
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
—
field tilt
44 – 52
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.41 xGA
chances conceded
0.56 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
—
Hibernian box touches
0.07
xG per Hibernian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match