Hibernian
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
0.41xG
+0.29AFC xGD
xG0.70
Expected points 0.72–1.59
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
10–6 shots · 2–1 big chances · 0.70–0.41 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.70 – 0.41
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.10
0.07 – 0.07
xG per shot
10 – 6
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.67 – 1.33
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 2.12
62% – 38%
field tilt
44 – 52
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Hibernian's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.41 xGA
chances conceded
0.56 better than AFC baseline (0.97)
15 (base 17)
Hibernian box touches
0.07
xG per Hibernian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.70Hibernian 0.41GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
40%
42%
18%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
6 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
10shots · 2 on target
By situation
90%
10%
Open play990%
Free kick / throw110%
By body part
50%
40%
10%
Right foot550%
Left foot440%
Head110%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Hibernian 6
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 68 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 68 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 2 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
37.7%
46.5%
15.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
89.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
62avg 49
Directness
57.6%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 441 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 125 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 125 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 79.6 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 160 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 160 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 22 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 53 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 66 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 66 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 12 | 15 | 15.6 | below usual · 42 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 42 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
2 saves
9/18
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
O
F. OjoDEF90'
39/47
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
G
D. GallagherDEF90'
5 clearances · 4 aerials won
34/44
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
B
D. BatesDEF90'
1 key pass · 3 interceptions · 6 aerials won
34/42
Pass
73%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
H
J. HayesDEF90'
42/59
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
F
L. FergusonMID90'
62/73
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
C
D. CampbellMID68'
1 key pass
41/46
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Key P
H
R. HedgesMID90'
3 key passes
34/40
Pass
57%
Duels
3
Key P
E
J. Emmanuel-ThomasMID45'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
20/22
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
W
M. WatkinsMID77'
12/18
Pass
40%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
R
C. RamirezFWD90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
16/19
Pass
57%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
R
C. RamsayDEF45'
13/15
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
J
T. JenksMID22'
1 key pass
5/5
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Key P
M
C. McLennanFWD13'
5/5
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Hibernian — every meeting on record
1-3-6(10 games)
1.27–1.90avg xG (n=9)
DLLDWLLLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.70avg 1.11
13th worst of 38 · Highest 4.40, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.09, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
xGA
0.41avg 0.99
9th best of 38 · Highest 2.62, 19 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.08, 1 December 2021 (2-0)
Possession
52%avg 58%
13th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 29 August 2021 (1-1) · Lowest 36%, 9 February 2022 (2-3)
Shots
10.0avg 13.4
12th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 2.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Shots on target
2.0avg 4.5
8th worst of 38 · Highest 11.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 25 January 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.1
5th best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Box touches
12.0avg 19.3
9th worst of 38 · Highest 41.0, 2 April 2022 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Final third entries
44.0avg 62.1
5th worst of 38 · Highest 100.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 36.0, 28 November 2021 (1-2)
Key passes
8.0avg 10.0
15th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 4 December 2021 (4-1) · Lowest 1.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1)
Corners
5.0avg 5.0
15th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 6 November 2021 (0-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 October 2021 (1-0)
Tackles
12.0avg 12.4
19th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 15 May 2022 (0-0) · Lowest 6.0, 8 August 2021 (2-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 8.1
11th best of 38 · Highest 22.0, 5 March 2022 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 15 February 2022 (1-1)
PPDA
18.9avg 15.6
10th worst of 38 · Highest 26.3, 9 February 2022 (2-3) · Lowest 7.0, 5 February 2022 (1-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
62%field tilt
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LLWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 2-6-11, 0.78–1.16 xG avg