AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 28 Jan 2023 · Away
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Hibernian
Hibernian
6–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.60xG
-2.08AFC xGD
xG0.52
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

11–12 shots · 0–3 big chances · 0.52–1.81 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.52 – 2.60
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.52–1.81
0.05 – 0.22
xG per shot
11 – 12
shots
Hibernian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.35 – 2.37
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
55% – 45%
field tilt
46 – 54
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.60 xGA
chances conceded
0.96 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
27 (base 27)
Hibernian box touches
0.22
xG per Hibernian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.52Hibernian 2.60GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
8%
90%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Campbell0-2 · Campbell0-3 · Youan0-4 · Nisbet0-5 · Campbell0-6 · Fish
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots

Hibernian Shot Map

6 goals: 2 open play, 1 free kick, 2 corner, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
12 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

11shots · 0 on target
By situation
82%
9%
9%
Open play982%
Corner19%
Free kick / throw19%
By body part
45%
45%
9%
Right foot545%
Left foot545%
Head19%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11Hibernian 12
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots119.912.114.4
about normal · 80 of 192 lower
Shots in the box35.97.99.8
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Kilmarnock, Oct 2025 · 10 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
45.1%
36.9%
18.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
83.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
43avg 49
Directness
56.0%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes323371.9392
below usual · 49 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %6975.772.2
below usual · 57 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2226.325.2
about normal · 79 of 192 lower
Long balls3554.657.8
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 2 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes10.81515.6
below usual · 22 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
DEF
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
4 dribbles won
S
A. StewartDEF90'
6 clearances
S
L. ScalesDEF86'
6 clearances
H
J. HayesDEF83'
1 key pass
MID
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
S
G. ShinnieMID83'
1 key pass · 4 tackles
K
M. KennedyMID60'
1 key pass
C
L. ClarksonMID60'
2 key passes
D
DukMID90'
4 dribbles won
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD83'
Substitutes
C
H. CoulsonDEF30'
R
C. RobertsMID30'
1 key pass
M
P. MyslovičMID11'
D
R. DuncanMID11'
B
C. BarronMID11'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Hibernian — every meeting on record
1-3-6(10 games)
1.29–1.65avg xG (n=9)
DLLDWLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.52avg 1.25
8th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
2.60avg 1.61
7th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
50%avg 47%
18th best of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
11.0avg 11.5
17th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
0.0avg 3.8
4th worst of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
12th worst of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
16.0avg 19.9
18th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
46.0avg 55.0
9th worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
9.0avg 4.7
3rd best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
18.0avg 14.6
7th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
6.0avg 9.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
20.3avg 17.7
15th worst of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLDWL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg