Hibernian
6–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.60xG
-2.08AFC xGD
xG0.52
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Hibernian generated more attacking volume — 12 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and —. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.52–2.60) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.52–1.81.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.52–2.60), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.52–1.81). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.52Hibernian 2.60GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.52 – 2.60
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.52–1.81
0.05 – 0.22
xG per shot
11 – 12
shots (AFC – Hibernian)
Hibernian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.35 – 2.37
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
46 – 54
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.60 xGA
chances conceded
0.96 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Hibernian box touches
0.22
xG per Hibernian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLDWL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match