AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 4 Mar 2023 · Away
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Dundee United
Dundee United
1–3
FT · Win
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.02xG
-1.24AFC xGD
xG0.78
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Fortunate win
The verdict
Event data: Opta

The scoreline flattered Aberdeen relative to the chance quality.

9–24 shots · 2–3 big chances · 0.78–1.23 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.78 – 2.02
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.78–1.23
0.09 – 0.08
xG per shot
9 – 24
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.88 – 3.25
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
62% – 38%
field tilt
64 – 87
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Dundee United's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.02 xGA
chances conceded
0.38 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
29 (base 27)
Dundee United box touches
0.08
xG per Dundee United shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.78Dundee United 2.02GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
9%
20%
70%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · Duk1-1 · McGrath2-1 · McCrorie3-1 · Watkins
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

3 goals: 3 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots

Dundee United Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
24 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

9shots · 4 on target
By situation
67%
11%
22%
Open play667%
Counter111%
Free kick / throw222%
By body part
56%
33%
11%
Right foot556%
Left foot333%
Head111%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Dundee United 24
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots99.912.114.4
below usual · 52 of 192 lower
Shots in the box45.97.99.8
below usual · 22 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
37.6%
38.8%
23.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
81.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
52avg 49
Directness
52.5%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes338371.9392
about normal · 63 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %68.975.772.2
below usual · 55 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2526.325.2
about normal · 103 of 192 lower
Long balls5754.657.8
about normal · 91 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes16.91515.6
about normal · 133 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
G
J. GorterGK90'
5 saves
DEF
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
1 goal
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
10 clearances · 5 aerials won
P
M. PollockDEF68'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass · 4 aerials won
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
MID
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
1 key pass · 3 interceptions
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
2 assists · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
3 interceptions
FWD
D
R. DuncanFWD68'
2 key passes
M
B. MiovskiFWD83'
D
DukFWD89'
1 goal · 3 dribbles won
Substitutes
S
L. ScalesDEF22'
8 clearances · 4 aerials won
H
J. HayesMID22'
W
M. WatkinsFWD14'
1 goal
C
H. CoulsonDEF1'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Dundee United — every meeting on record
0-1-6(7 games)
1.16–1.57avg xG (n=6)
DLLLLLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.78avg 1.25
12th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
2.02avg 1.63
12th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
46%avg 47%
18th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
9.0avg 11.6
16th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
4.0avg 3.7
14th best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.8
13th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
25.0avg 19.6
10th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
64.0avg 54.5
9th best of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
5.0avg 4.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
16.0avg 14.6
12th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
14.0avg 8.8
6th best of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
15.7avg 17.8
18th best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLWLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg