Rangers
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.00xG
-0.70AFC xGD
xG1.30
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 19 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and —. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.12 xG per shot to 0.11, and the bigger ones (2–1 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.30–2.00), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.30–2.00). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.30Rangers 2.00GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.30 – 2.00
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.12 – 0.11
xG per shot
11 – 19
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.82 – 3.29
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
49 – 74
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.00 xGA
chances conceded
0.37 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Rangers box touches
0.11
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match