AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 8 Oct 2022 · Away
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Dundee United
Dundee United
4–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.25xG
-1.35AFC xGD
xG0.89
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

14–14 shots · 2–3 big chances · 0.89–1.46 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.89 – 2.25
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.89–1.46
0.06 – 0.16
xG per shot
14 – 14
shots
Dundee United created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.95 – 1.44
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
51% – 49%
field tilt
72 – 61
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.25 xGA
chances conceded
0.61 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
21 (base 27)
Dundee United box touches
0.16
xG per Dundee United shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.89Dundee United 2.25GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
9%
18%
73%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Behich0-2 · Watt0-3 · McGrath
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots

Dundee United Shot Map

3 goals: 2 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

14shots · 1 on target
By situation
100%
Open play14100%
By body part
29%
50%
21%
Right foot429%
Left foot750%
Head321%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 14Dundee United 14
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots159.912.114.4
about normal · 129 of 192 lower
Shots in the box85.97.99.8
about normal · 100 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
49.2%
33.3%
17.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
60avg 49
Directness
55.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes484371.9392
above usual · 158 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %79.875.772.2
above usual · 163 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third3626.325.2
above usual · 164 of 192 lower
Long balls6454.657.8
above usual · 135 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes13.21515.6
about normal · 58 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
5 saves
DEF
R
J. RichardsonDEF81'
S
A. StewartDEF90'
5 clearances · 5 aerials won
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
7 clearances · 10 aerials won
C
H. CoulsonDEF57'
1 key pass
MID
W
M. WatkinsMID45'
M
R. McCrorieMID90'
1 key pass
R
Y. RamadaniMID81'
1 key pass
H
J. HayesMID90'
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 key pass · 5 shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD57'
Substitutes
B
C. BarronMID45'
C
L. ClarksonMID33'
3 key passes
D
DukFWD33'
1 key pass
M
S. MorrisFWD9'
1 key pass
R
C. RamirezFWD9'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Dundee United — every meeting on record
1-1-5(7 games)
1.14–1.53avg xG (n=6)
DLLLWLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.89avg 1.24
14th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
2.25avg 1.62
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
65%avg 46%
3rd best of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
14.0avg 11.4
11th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
1.0avg 3.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.8
13th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
19.0avg 19.8
17th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
72.0avg 54.3
2nd best of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
9.0avg 8.0
12th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
1.0avg 4.9
4th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
13.0avg 14.7
15th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
5.0avg 9.1
8th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
11.1avg 17.9
9th best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWDLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg