Dundee United
4–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.25xG
-1.35AFC xGD
xG0.89
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.89–2.25) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.89–1.46.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.89–2.25), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.89–1.46). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.89Dundee United 2.25GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.89 – 2.25
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.89–1.46
0.06 – 0.16
xG per shot
14 – 14
shots (AFC – Dundee United)
Dundee United created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.95 – 1.44
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
72 – 61
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.25 xGA
chances conceded
0.61 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Dundee United box touches
0.16
xG per Dundee United shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWDLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match