Aberdeen
2–0
FT · Win
St. Johnstone
1.10xG
+0.59AFC xGD
xG0.51
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.07 xG per shot to 0.05, and the bigger ones (1–1 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.10–0.51), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.10–0.51). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.10St. Johnstone 0.51GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.10 – 0.51
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.07 – 0.05
xG per shot
16 – 10
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.07 xG per shot to 0.05.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.69 – 1.85
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
54 – 61
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.51 xGA
chances conceded
1.12 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
St. Johnstone box touches
0.05
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLLLD(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match