Livingston
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.29xG
+2.05AFC xGD
xG3.34
Expected points 0.20–2.44
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (3.34–1.29) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.76–0.50.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (3.34–1.29), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.76–0.50). Took 0.
Extreme misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 3.34Livingston 1.29GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
3.34 – 1.29
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 1.76–0.50
0.14 – 0.16
xG per shot
24 – 8
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.76 – 1.53
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
55 – 50
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.29 xGA
chances conceded
0.35 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Livingston box touches
0.16
xG per Livingston shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
24shots
1st of 38 · season best
10shots on target
1st of 38 · season best
11high regains
1st of 38 · season best
3.34xG
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
+2.05xGD
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match