St. Johnstone
0–1
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.82xG
+0.18AFC xGD
xG1.00
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
St. Johnstone generated more attacking volume — 14 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 12 and —. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.08 xG per shot to 0.06, and the bigger ones (0–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.00–0.82), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.00–0.82). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.00St. Johnstone 0.82GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.00 – 0.82
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.08 – 0.06
xG per shot
12 – 14
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
3.09 – 1.68
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
77 – 72
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.82 xGA
chances conceded
0.81 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
St. Johnstone box touches
0.06
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
89progressive passes
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:WLWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match