Aberdeen
4–1
FT · Win
Kilmarnock
2.33xG
+1.86AFC xGD
xG0.47
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
16–7 shots · 4–0 big chances · 1.55–0.47 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.33 – 0.47
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 1.55–0.47
0.15 – 0.07
xG per shot
16 – 7
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.15 xG per shot to 0.07.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.41 – 1.32
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
48% – 52%
field tilt
51 – 52
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.47 xGA
chances conceded
1.16 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
11 (base 27)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.07
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.33Kilmarnock 0.47GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
85%
12%
3%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
4 goals: 2 open play, 1 corner, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
16shots · 7 on target
By situation
75%
13%
Open play1275%
Corner16%
Free kick / throw213%
Penalty16%
By body part
56%
38%
Right foot956%
Left foot638%
Head16%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 16Kilmarnock 7
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 142 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 142 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 9 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | about normal · 122 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 122 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
52.2%
31.3%
16.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
92.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
63avg 49
Directness
58.1%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 467 | 371.9 | 392 | above usual · 143 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 143 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 79.9 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 165 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 165 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 29 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 125 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 125 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 47 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 33 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 33 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 10.1 | 15 | 15.6 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Kilmarnock, Sept 2026 · 13 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Kilmarnock, Sept 2026 · 13 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
49/58
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
R
J. RichardsonDEF90'
1 key pass
27/37
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
S
A. StewartDEF90'
1 goal · 5 aerials won
53/69
Pass
80%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 clearances
56/62
Pass
63%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
C
H. CoulsonDEF90'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
38/44
Pass
62%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
W
M. WatkinsMID66'
11/13
Pass
14%
Duels
-
Key P
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
1 key pass · 5 tackles
40/45
Pass
60%
Duels
1
Key P
K
M. KennedyMID80'
33/39
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
H
J. HayesMID80'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
26/31
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD67'
2 goals · 4 shots
10/14
Pass
33%
Duels
4
Shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD80'
1 goal · 2 key passes
21/28
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
M
S. MorrisFWD24'
1/1
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
D
DukFWD23'
4/7
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
R
C. RamirezFWD10'
5/6
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Shots
J. MilneMID10'
7/8
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
D
R. DuncanMID10'
4/6
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Kilmarnock at Home — every meeting on record
6-1-1(8 games)
1.63–0.78avg xG (n=7)
DWWWWLWW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.33avg 1.21
4th best of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
0.47avg 1.67
5th best of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
60%avg 46%
7th best of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
16.0avg 11.4
6th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
8.0avg 3.6
3rd best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.7
3rd best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
29.0avg 19.5
6th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
51.0avg 54.9
15th worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
8.0avg 8.0
18th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
5.0avg 4.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
16.0avg 14.6
12th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
6.0avg 9.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
10.6avg 18.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
11high regains
1st of 38 · season best
8shots on target
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWDL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 1.60–1.18 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
11
High regains
6th highest of 192 · tied with 2
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16