St. Mirren
3–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
3.27xG
-2.29AFC xGD
xG0.98
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
St. Mirren generated more attacking volume — 16 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and —. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.98–3.27) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.98–0.91.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.98–3.27), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.98–0.91). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.98St. Mirren 3.27GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.98 – 3.27
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.98–0.91
0.09 – 0.20
xG per shot
11 – 16
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.93 – 2.97
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
34 – 47
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
3.27 xGA
chances conceded
1.64 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
St. Mirren box touches
0.20
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0high regains
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WLWLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match