AFC 1903
← Prev
Scottish Premiership · Sat, 24 Dec 2022 · Away
Next →
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
3–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
3.27xG
-2.29AFC xGD
xG0.98
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

11–16 shots · 1–6 big chances · 0.98–0.91 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.98 – 3.27
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.98–0.91
0.09 – 0.20
xG per shot
11 – 16
shots
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
0.93 – 2.97
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
43% – 57%
field tilt
34 – 47
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
3.27 xGA
chances conceded
1.64 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
28 (base 27)
St. Mirren box touches
0.20
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.98St. Mirren 3.27GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
7%
90%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.03.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · Kennedy1-1 · O'Hara1-2 · Kiltie
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots

St. Mirren Shot Map

2 goals: 1 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

11shots · 6 on target
By situation
64%
27%
9%
Open play764%
Corner327%
Free kick / throw19%
By body part
45%
36%
18%
Right foot545%
Left foot436%
Head218%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11St. Mirren 16
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots129.912.114.4
about normal · 102 of 192 lower
Shots in the box65.97.99.8
below usual · 54 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
57.4%
32.4%
10.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
91.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
44avg 49
Directness
53.0%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes459371.9392
above usual · 140 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %8175.772.2
above usual · 170 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third1326.325.2
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Heart of Midlothian, Feb 2026 · 18 of 192 lower
Long balls4654.657.8
below usual · 29 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes101515.6
bottom 10% — fewest since vs Kilmarnock, Sept 2026 · 11 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
DEF
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
1 key pass · 6 aerials won
S
A. StewartDEF35'
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
1 key pass · 6 clearances
MID
K
M. KennedyMID90'
1 goal · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes
B
C. BarronMID90'
1 assist · 2 key passes
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
2 key passes · 5 tackles
C
L. ClarksonMID45'
C
H. CoulsonMID67'
1 key pass
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
D
DukFWD45'
Substitutes
D
R. DuncanMID45'
M
J. MackenzieDEF45'
R
C. RamirezFWD23'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At St. Mirren — every meeting on record
1-2-6(9 games)
0.98–1.22avg xG (n=8)
LWLLLDLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.98avg 1.24
17th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
3.27avg 1.59
4th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
67%avg 46%
2nd best of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
11.0avg 11.5
17th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.7
11th best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
17.0avg 19.9
18th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
34.0avg 55.4
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
9.0avg 8.0
12th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
5.0avg 4.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
15.0avg 14.7
18th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
8.0avg 9.0
17th best of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
22.4avg 17.6
11th worst of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

43%field tilt
38th of 38 · season worst
0high regains
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WLWLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
High regains
3rd lowest of 192 · tied with 2
1
Passes into the box
9th lowest of 192 · tied with 8
3.27
xG conceded
10th highest of 230