St. Johnstone
0–1
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.34xG
+0.70AFC xGD
xG1.05
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.07 xG per shot to 0.05, and the bigger ones (0–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.05–0.34), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.05–0.34). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.05St. Johnstone 0.34GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.05 – 0.34
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.07 – 0.05
xG per shot
15 – 7
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.07 xG per shot to 0.05.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.92 – 1.60
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
63 – 60
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.34 xGA
chances conceded
1.29 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
St. Johnstone box touches
0.05
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.34xGA
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:LWL(last 3)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match