Aberdeen
3–0
FT · Win
St. Mirren
1.53xG
+0.84AFC xGD
xG0.70
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.53–0.70), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.53–0.70). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.53St. Mirren 0.70GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.53 – 0.70
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.10 – 0.12
xG per shot
15 – 6
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.76 – 1.37
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
58 – 64
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.70 xGA
chances conceded
0.94 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
St. Mirren box touches
0.12
xG per St. Mirren shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWLDL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match