AFC 1903
Prev
Scottish Premiership · Sat, 13 May 2023 · Pittodrie
Next
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
00
FT · Draw
Hibernian
Hibernian
0.30xG
-1.64AFC xGD
xG1.95
Expected points 0.202.44
Tight game
The verdict
Event data: Opta

An even game, an even result.

Hibernian generated more attacking volume — 17 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 8 and —. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.30–1.95) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.30–1.16.

Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.202.44
From the full xG (0.301.95), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.301.16). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.30Hibernian 1.95GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.30 – 1.95
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.30–1.16
0.04 – 0.11
xG per shot
8 – 17
shots (AFC – Hibernian)
Hibernian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.56 – 2.51
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
field tilt
67 – 62
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.95 xGA
chances conceded
0.31 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
Hibernian box touches
0.11
xG per Hibernian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.000.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match