AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 18 Feb 2023 · Away
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Celtic
Celtic
40
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1.50xG
-1.24AFC xGD
xG0.27
Expected points 2.290.73
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.

Celtic generated more attacking volume — 20 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 5 and —.

Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.732.29
From the full xG (0.271.50), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.271.50). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.27Celtic 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.27 – 1.50
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.05 – 0.08
xG per shot
5 – 20
shots (AFC – Celtic)
Celtic created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.25 – 2.38
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
field tilt
24 – 81
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.13 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
Celtic box touches
0.08
xG per Celtic shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

15progressive passes
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:WLLLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.000.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match