AFC 1903
← Prev
Scottish Premiership · Sat, 18 Feb 2023 · Away
Next →
Celtic
Celtic
4–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1.50xG
-1.24AFC xGD
xG0.27
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

5–20 shots · 0–1 big chances · 0.27–1.50 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.27 – 1.50
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.05 – 0.08
xG per shot
5 – 20
shots
Celtic created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.25 – 2.38
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
53% – 47%
field tilt
24 – 81
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.13 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
54 (base 27)
Celtic box touches
0.08
xG per Celtic shot
Celtic accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.27Celtic 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
6%
24%
70%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · McGregor0-2 · Hatate0-3 · Hatate0-4 · Abada
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots

Celtic Shot Map

4 goals: 4 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

5shots · 0 on target
By situation
80%
20%
Open play480%
Free kick / throw120%
By body part
60%
40%
Right foot360%
Left foot240%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 5Celtic 20
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots59.912.114.4
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 6 of 192 lower
Shots in the box15.97.99.8
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, May 2023 · 2 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
46.6%
35.1%
18.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
74.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
15avg 49
Directness
55.6%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes207371.9392
bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 5 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %66.775.772.2
below usual · 40 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third726.325.2
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 3 of 192 lower
Long balls3254.657.8
lowest in 192 matches · 0 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes15.51515.6
about normal · 104 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
G
J. GorterGK90'
7 saves
DEF
P
M. PollockDEF90'
3 interceptions
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
6 clearances
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
6 clearances
MID
K
M. KennedyMID90'
3 dribbles won
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
4 interceptions
C
L. ClarksonMID63'
1 key pass
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
5 tackles
H
J. HayesMID90'
1 key pass
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD45'
7 aerials won
D
DukFWD82'
1 key pass
Substitutes
C
H. CoulsonDEF45'
D
R. DuncanMID27'
W
M. WatkinsFWD8'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Celtic — every meeting on record
0-1-9(10 games)
0.69–3.17avg xG (n=7)
LLLDLLLLLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.27avg 1.26
4th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
1.50avg 1.64
19th best of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
22%avg 47%
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
5.0avg 11.7
6th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
0.0avg 3.8
4th worst of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
12th worst of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
4.0avg 20.2
worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 7.0, 17 September 2022 (1-3)
Final third entries
24.0avg 55.6
worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 34.0, 29 October 2022 (1-4)
Key passes
3.0avg 8.1
6th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
0.0avg 5.0
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
14.0avg 14.7
18th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
16.0avg 8.8
2nd best of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
27.4avg 17.5
4th worst of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

4box touches
38th of 38 · season worst
15progressive passes
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:WLLLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4
Touches in the box
2nd lowest of 192 · tied with 1
22%
Possession
4th lowest of 409 · tied with 1
7
Final-third entries
5th lowest of 192 · tied with 1
0.270
Expected goals
8th lowest of 230
1
Passes into the box
9th lowest of 192 · tied with 8
0
Corners
10th lowest of 409 · tied with 9