Celtic
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.90xG
-1.67AFC xGD
xG0.23
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A fair defeat.
Celtic generated more attacking volume — 21 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 5 and —.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.23–1.90), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.20 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.23–1.90). Took 0.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.23Celtic 1.90GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.23 – 1.90
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.05 – 0.09
xG per shot
5 – 21
shots (AFC – Celtic)
Celtic created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.77 – 5.22
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
47 – 103
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.90 xGA
chances conceded
0.27 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Celtic box touches
0.09
xG per Celtic shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0high regains
37th of 38 · among the worst
0.23xG
36th of 38 · among the worst
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match