Aberdeen
2–0
FT · Win
Rangers
0.94xG
-0.96AFC xGD
xG1.90
Expected points 0.73–2.29
Fortunate winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 20 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and —.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.94–1.90), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.94–1.90). Took 3.
Extreme fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.94Rangers 1.90GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.94 – 1.90
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.09 – 0.10
xG per shot
11 – 20
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.63 – 2.26
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
54 – 67
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.90 xGA
chances conceded
0.27 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Rangers box touches
0.10
xG per Rangers shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match