Aberdeen
2–0
FT · Win
Kilmarnock
2.20xG
+1.11AFC xGD
xG1.09
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
13–16 shots · 3–0 big chances · 2.20–1.09 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.20 – 1.09
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.17 – 0.07
xG per shot
13 – 16
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
2.60 – 2.15
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
71% – 29%
field tilt
70 – 67
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Kilmarnock's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.09 xGA
chances conceded
0.55 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
21 (base 27)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.07
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.20Kilmarnock 1.09GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
67%
21%
12%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
13shots · 3 on target
By situation
62%
23%
15%
Open play862%
Corner323%
Free kick / throw215%
By body part
54%
31%
15%
Right foot754%
Left foot431%
Head215%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 13Kilmarnock 16
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 115 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 115 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 10 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 136 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 136 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
29.3%
43.8%
26.9%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
79.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
56avg 49
Directness
61.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 365 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 64.7 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 31 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 31 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 28 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 120 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 120 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 55 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.1 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 99 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 99 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
12/38
Pass
100%
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
P
M. PollockDEF90'
5 aerials won
25/36
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
23/34
Pass
20%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
8 clearances · 15 aerials won
23/45
Pass
82%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
M
R. McCrorieMID90'
14/22
Pass
32%
Duels
-
Key P
D
R. DuncanMID90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass · 4 tackles
27/34
Pass
39%
Duels
1
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
4 key passes
24/40
Pass
50%
Duels
4
Key P
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
3 shots · 6 aerials won
28/44
Pass
39%
Duels
-
Key P
H
J. HayesMID90'
20/29
Pass
63%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD72'
2 assists · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes
18/21
Pass
23%
Duels
2
Shots
D
DukFWD77'
2 goals · 2 key passes
15/18
Pass
33%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
W
M. WatkinsFWD18'
1 key pass
4/5
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
B
A. BavidgeMID13'
5/7
Pass
17%
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Kilmarnock at Home — every meeting on record
6-1-1(8 games)
1.65–0.69avg xG (n=7)
DWWWWLWW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.20avg 1.21
5th best of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
1.09avg 1.65
15th best of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
55%avg 46%
14th best of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
13.0avg 11.5
13th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.7
19th best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.8
8th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
36.0avg 19.4
3rd best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
70.0avg 54.4
4th best of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
10.0avg 7.9
8th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
5.0avg 4.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
16.0avg 14.6
12th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
3.0avg 9.1
worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 29 October 2022 (1-4)
PPDA
8.9avg 18.0
2nd best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
71%field tilt
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
36box touches
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
10high regains
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWWW(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 1.60–1.18 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
10
High regains
9th highest of 192 · tied with 8