Aberdeen
3–0
FT · Win
Hearts
2.03xG
+1.51AFC xGD
xG0.52
Expected points 2.44–0.20
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.09 xG per shot to 0.06, and the bigger ones (3–1 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (2.03–0.52), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.03–0.52). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.03Hearts 0.52GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.03 – 0.52
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.09 – 0.06
xG per shot
22 – 8
shots (AFC – Hearts)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.09 xG per shot to 0.06.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.19 – 1.62
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
66 – 69
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.52 xGA
chances conceded
1.12 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Hearts box touches
0.06
xG per Hearts shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWLWW(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match